Rational Expectations Econometrics.

HANSEN, Lars Peter and Thomas J. Sargent.

Rational Expectations Econometrics.

First Edition of Hansen and Sargent's Rational Expectations Econometrics; Inscribed by Thomas Sargent

Boulder, CO: Westview Press, 1991.

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Item Number: 110831

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First edition of this work by the Nobel Prize-winning economists. Octavo, original wrappers as issued. Presentation copy, inscribed by Sargent on the front free endpaper, “For John Thomas J. Sargent.” In fine condition. With contributions by John Heaton, Albert Marcet and William Roberds.

At the core of the rational expectations revolution is the insight that economic policy does not operate independently of economic agents' knowledge of that policy and their expectations of the effects of that policy. This means that there are very complicated feedback relationships existing between policy and the behaviour of economic agents, and these relationships pose very difficult problems in econometrics when one tries to exploit the rational expectations insight in formal economic modelling. This volume consists of work by two rational expectations pioneers dealing with the "nuts and bolts" problems of modelling the complications introduced by rational expectations. Each paper deals with aspects of the problem of making inferences about parameters of a dynamic economic model on the basis of time series observations. Each exploits restrictions on an econometric model imposed by the hypothesis that agents within the model have rational expectations.

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